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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 9?

Resolved Yes. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Yes 50%

Total Value

$88.98

Combined PnL

-$26.56

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 16 top traders (25%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders
Total Value$88.98
Total Shares89
Combined PnL+$33.63
No12 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares116
Combined PnL-$60.19
Yes — 25%No — 75%
balthazar<$100
Yes

Invested

$38.67

Value

$59.97

PnL

+$21.3

Record

30%

35477-83899 (119376)

PO
Poligarch<$100
Yes

Invested

$16.33

Value

$24.01

PnL

+$7.62

Record

55%

26032-21336 (47368)

Lucerys<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.3

Value

$5.01

PnL

+$4.71

Record

43%

18663-24360 (43023)

0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100
No

Invested

$49.88

Value

—

PnL

-$50.53

Record

21%

938-3538 (4476)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
No

Invested

$3.67

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

50%

66185-66688 (132873)

HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100
No

Invested

$5.96

Value

—

PnL

-$5.92

Record

57%

923-700 (1623)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2881-6591 (9472)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

47595-54054 (101649)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6187-7401 (13588)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6900-8161 (15061)

HoshinoAICTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

6%

2-29 (31)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5573-7258 (12831)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

9062-8278 (17340)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16766-7371 (24137)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

25400-18932 (44332)

IstarothCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

13%

705-4684 (5389)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xaf12d7ce...672f9e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-9-2026-17c

Traders in this Market

balthazar

Yes — $59.97

+$21.3
PO

Poligarch

Yes — $24.01

+$7.62

Lucerys

Yes — $5.01

+$4.71
0X

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

CTR

No — $0

-$50.53
CI

cigarettes

CTR

No — $0

-$3.75
HE

HellYeahTrader

CTR

No — $0

-$5.92
0X

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

Yes — $0

+$0
QW

qwen300.fund

CTR

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

CTR

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

CTR

No — $0

+$0
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