Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 8?
Resolved Yes. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 58%
Total Value
$91.64
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 12 top traders (58%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a761bac...f67982
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-8-2026-20c