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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 38%
Total Value
$119.66
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2b39b40e...d14a11
Slug
highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-november-1-2026-10c