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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 2
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$71.14
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes14%
No86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432ARB<$100 | Yesavg 14.2¢ | $74.7 | $71.14 | -$11.65 | 59% 1929-1356 (3285) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 14.2¢ | $45.9 | $45.34 | -$8.65 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 96¢ | $28.8 | $25.8 | -$3 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance15.6%
14.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$539.49
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
639.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5488ab4...8feb4b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-paris-on-november-2-2026-13c