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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on November 4?

Resolved No. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

No 67%

Total Value

$20

Combined PnL

-$17.82

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$0.05
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$17.87
No — 79%Yes — 21%
CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$14.96

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.04

Record

53%

23051-20286 (43337)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100
No

Invested

$5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.01

Record

27%

6988-19089 (26077)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$16.91

Value

—

PnL

-$17.87

Record

41%

2307-3348 (5655)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$0

Value

$0

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

8958-9484 (18442)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

76%

13009-4160 (17169)

QW
qwen300.fund<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

12017-8564 (20581)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

2245-2513 (4758)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

752-790 (1542)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9890-9904 (19794)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

1214-1706 (2920)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

1093-1720 (2813)

0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

4482-3688 (8170)

0X
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

1204-1759 (2963)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

1706-1890 (3596)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xfc721772...56eb07
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-4-2026-90-91f

Traders in this Market

CI

cigarettes

No — $15

+$0.04
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

No — $5

+$0.01
0X

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

CTR

Yes — $0

-$17.87
SM

smallreceipt

No — $0

+$0

Lucerys

No — $0

+$0
QW

qwen300.fund

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

+$0
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
QU

quietparcel

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

+$0
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