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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$159.85
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12227cc2...e49c1a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-31-2026-15c