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NoNoNoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 7?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$99.98
Combined PnL
$22.34
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 7 top traders (100%)7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$99.98
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$22.34
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $35.98 | $48 | +$12.48 | 56% 829-641 (1470) |
PO Poligarch<$100 | Noavg 75.9¢ | $22.78 | $30 | +$7.22 | 54% 10777-9308 (20085) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 36.7¢ | $2.66 | $21.98 | +$0.04 | 47% 2105-2397 (4502) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 33% 20011-40834 (60845) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 48% 11465-12267 (23732) |
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100 | Noavg 84.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 1206-2165 (3371) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | $17.4 | — | +$2.6 | 13% 603-4221 (4824) |
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
$35.98
Value
$48
PnL
+$12.48
Record
56%
829-641 (1470)
PO
Poligarch<$100Invested
$22.78
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.22
Record
54%
10777-9308 (20085)
0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100Invested
$2.66
Value
$21.98
PnL
+$0.04
Record
47%
2105-2397 (4502)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
33%
20011-40834 (60845)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
11465-12267 (23732)
0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
1206-2165 (3371)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$17.4
Value
—
PnL
+$2.6
Record
13%
603-4221 (4824)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa764faec...29ef3e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-7-2026-12c