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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
23
No 61%
Total Value
$11.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 23 top traders (61%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa6fbdd59...6bde2d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-5-2026-12c