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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
24
No 54%
Total Value
$75.1
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 24 top traders (54%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x91616df6...dd4f8f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-november-5-2026-82-83f