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YesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$348.71
Combined PnL
$256.26
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$348.71
Total Shares349
Combined PnL+$256.26
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE hello.67 | Yesavg 16.4¢ | $37.45 | $228.36 | +$190.91 | 50% 1908-1873 (3781) |
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 45.8¢ | $57.27 | $120 | +$65.08 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Yesavg 27.6¢ | $0.09 | $0.35 | +$0.26 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 43.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21345-13642 (34987) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
HE
hello.67Invested
$37.45
Value
$228.36
PnL
+$190.91
Record
50%
1908-1873 (3781)
24
241532532432Invested
$57.27
Value
$120
PnL
+$65.08
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
$0.35
PnL
+$0.26
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21345-13642 (34987)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2d270e2e...597266
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-november-1-2026-33c