Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 13?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
No 75%
$95.19
-$79.13
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | $77.27 | $77.88 | +$0.61 | 53% 6992-6143 (13135) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 85.3¢ | $59.55 | $11.29 | +$2.1 | 52% 1661-1516 (3177) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $4.99 | $6.01 | +$1.02 | 34% 243-480 (723) |
VI vibing123CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.7¢ | $76.63 | — | -$76.63 | 62% 1129-683 (1812) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | $13.92 | $0.01 | -$1.16 | 27% 679-1844 (2523) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $105.89 | — | -$6.35 | 29% 3170-7895 (11065) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 85.5¢ | $17.1 | — | +$1.08 | 39% 3622-5713 (9335) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 98.7¢ | $4.94 | — | -$0.39 | 37% 1521-2578 (4099) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 91.1¢ | $62.79 | — | -$0.11 | 55% 2277-1842 (4119) |
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $6.3 | — | +$0.69 | 40% 633-964 (1597) |
Invested
$77.27
Value
$77.88
PnL
+$0.61
Record
53%
6992-6143 (13135)
Invested
$59.55
Value
$11.29
PnL
+$2.1
Record
52%
1661-1516 (3177)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$6.01
PnL
+$1.02
Record
34%
243-480 (723)
Invested
$76.63
Value
—
PnL
-$76.63
Record
62%
1129-683 (1812)
Invested
$13.92
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$1.16
Record
27%
679-1844 (2523)
Invested
$105.89
Value
—
PnL
-$6.35
Record
29%
3170-7895 (11065)
Invested
$17.1
Value
—
PnL
+$1.08
Record
39%
3622-5713 (9335)
Invested
$4.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
37%
1521-2578 (4099)
Invested
$62.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
55%
2277-1842 (4119)
Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
+$0.69
Record
40%
633-964 (1597)