Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$30.66

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares337

Combined PnL-$30.66

No4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 67%No — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 5.5¢	$17.78	—	-$29.29	20% 977-3823 (4800)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 5.8¢	$0.87	—	-$1.36	32% 21778-45614 (67392)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	30% 35457-83867 (119324)
LucerysCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.1¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18536-24186 (42722)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2855-6557 (9412)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.1¢	—	—	+$0	47% 47428-53893 (101321)
GR graynotebook19<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	—	—	+$0	55% 25558-21177 (46735)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	43% 5572-7255 (12827)
MI mildwindow27<$100	Noavg 55¢	—	—	+$0	49% 24093-24636 (48729)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	—	—	+$0	69% 16764-7368 (24132)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	50% 9328-9390 (18718)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6642-7775 (14417)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

$17.78

Value

—

PnL

-$29.29

Record

20%

977-3823 (4800)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$0.87

Value

—

PnL

-$1.36

Record

32%

21778-45614 (67392)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35457-83867 (119324)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2855-6557 (9412)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

47428-53893 (101321)

graynotebook19<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

25558-21177 (46735)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5572-7255 (12827)

mildwindow27<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

24093-24636 (48729)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16764-7368 (24132)

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9328-9390 (18718)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6642-7775 (14417)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x42683da9...404dd2

Slug

highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-november-8-2026-76-77f

Traders in this Market

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

Lucerys

Yes — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

qwen300.fund

Yes — $0

graynotebook19

No — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

Yes — $0

mildwindow27

No — $0

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket