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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$284.02
Combined PnL
-$2.42
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$284.02
Total Shares284
Combined PnL+$22.44
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares507
Combined PnL-$24.86
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Noavg 92.1¢ | $261.58 | $284.02 | +$22.44 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | $24.86 | — | -$24.86 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 95.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21345-13642 (34987) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 16080-28084 (44164) |
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedInvested
$261.58
Value
$284.02
PnL
+$22.44
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$24.86
Value
—
PnL
-$24.86
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21345-13642 (34987)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
16080-28084 (44164)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe339a0b2...49dc75
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-november-1-2026-16c