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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
No 72%
Total Value
$69.91
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 18 top traders (72%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcdfc81d0...a10d42
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-5-2026-21c