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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
20
Yes 60%
Total Value
$21.13
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
12 of 20 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x25bb44bb...665160
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-6-2026-21c