Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 57%
Total Value
$118.08
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x464123f5...9cb44d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-26-2026-15c