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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Singapore — but Paraguay won instead.

Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)

Resolved Paraguay. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Singapore. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Singapore 50%

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

-$215.81

Smart Money Signal

Singapore

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Paraguay100%
Singapore0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Singapore6 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares2,193
Combined PnL-$378.98
Paraguay5 traders
Total Value$487.08
Total Shares487
Combined PnL+$163.17
Singapore — 55%Paraguay — 45%
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
Singapore

Invested

$1,295.4

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$0.21

Record

54%

1849-1555 (3404)

VeryLucky888
Paraguay

Invested

$138.95

Value

$243.69

PnL

+$110.01

Record

53%

1030-921 (1951)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Singapore

Invested

$380.63

Value

$116.68

PnL

-$263.95

Record

50%

3193-3131 (6324)

PE
pelik
Paraguay

Invested

$111

Value

$111.11

PnL

+$0.11

Record

99%

1441-4 (1445)

SU
suntori<$100
Paraguay

Invested

$54.68

Value

$94.28

PnL

+$39.6

Record

46%

2084-2445 (4529)

poshposh<$100
Paraguay

Invested

$20.64

Value

$34.02

PnL

+$13.38

Record

46%

781-902 (1683)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Paraguay

Invested

$9.93

Value

$3.98

PnL

+$0.07

Record

49%

1668-1706 (3374)

RN1CTR<$100
Singapore

Invested

$91.11

Value

—

PnL

-$91.11

Record

56%

4863-3816 (8679)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Singapore

Invested

$3.16

Value

—

PnL

-$3.16

Record

43%

808-1065 (1873)

VA
Vampiro1CTR<$100
Singapore

Invested

$30.05

Value

—

PnL

+$9.28

Record

85%

127-22 (149)

LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100
Singapore

Invested

$29.82

Value

—

PnL

-$29.82

Record

56%

307-245 (552)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1af66a52...620e70
Slug
fif-sin-par-2026-11-13-spread-away-2pt5

Traders in this Market

GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Singapore — $1.3K

-$0.21

VeryLucky888

Paraguay — $243.69

+$110.01
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Singapore — $116.68

-$263.95
PE

pelik

Paraguay — $111.11

+$0.11
SU

suntori

Paraguay — $94.28

+$39.6

poshposh

Paraguay — $34.02

+$13.38
FE

ferdinand2

Paraguay — $3.98

+$0.07

RN1

CTR

Singapore — $0

-$91.11
SE

sentrio

CTR

Singapore — $0

-$3.16
VA

Vampiro1

CTR

Singapore — $0

+$9.28
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