Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Qatar — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Qatar
Spread: Australia (-3.5)
Resolved Qatar. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Qatar. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Qatar 67%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
$506.85
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Qataravg 74.1¢ | $1.9K | $2.4K | +$495.15 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Australiaavg 27.1¢ | $833.82 | $410.93 | -$422.89 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
| └ Qatar leg | Qataravg 71.7¢ | $294.74 | $410.93 | +$116.18 | |
| └ Australia leg | Australiaavg 27.1¢ | $539.08 | — | -$539.08 | |
 poshposh | Qataravg 92.3¢ | $145.24 | $157.31 | +$12.07 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
 dips. | Qataravg 90.3¢ | $108.56 | $120.17 | +$11.61 | 46% 741-865 (1606) |
PE pelik<$100 | Qataravg 99.9¢ | $89.03 | $89.12 | +$0.09 | 99% 1441-4 (1445) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Australiaavg 7.5¢ | $9.92 | — | -$9.92 | 35% 736-1380 (2116) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Australiaavg 8.6¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
Invested
$1,861.11
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$495.15
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$833.82
Value
$410.93
PnL
-$422.89
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
Both legs:
poshposhInvested
$145.24
Value
$157.31
PnL
+$12.07
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
dips.Invested
$108.56
Value
$120.17
PnL
+$11.61
Record
46%
741-865 (1606)
Invested
$89.03
Value
$89.12
PnL
+$0.09
Record
99%
1441-4 (1445)
Invested
$9.92
Value
—
PnL
-$9.92
Record
35%
736-1380 (2116)
Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)