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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Over β€” but Under won instead.

New Zealand vs. India: New Zealand O/U 3.5

Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Over 67%

Total Value

$6.07

Combined PnL

-$11.96

Smart Money Signal

Over

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$14.57
Under3 traders
Total Value$6.07
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$2.61
Over β€” 40%Under β€” 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x9bc5ab19...09c5ff
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-14-team-total-home-3pt5
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