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OverOverUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

New Zealand vs. India: New Zealand O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 67%
Total Value
$6.07
Combined PnL
-$11.96
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$14.57
Under3 traders
Total Value$6.07
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$2.61
Over β 40%Under β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 29Β’ | $9.81 | β | -$9.81 | 49% 4560-4822 (9382) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 43Β’ | $4.76 | β | -$4.76 | 46% 3106-3639 (6745) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Underavg 56Β’ | $3.39 | $6.06 | +$2.67 | 38% 3782-6154 (9936) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100 | Underavg 57Β’ | $6.31 | $0.01 | -$0.06 | 59% 527-359 (886) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $816 | β | +$0 | 65% 144-79 (223) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$9.81
Value
β
PnL
-$9.81
Record
49%
4560-4822 (9382)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
β
PnL
-$4.76
Record
46%
3106-3639 (6745)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$3.39
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$2.67
Record
38%
3782-6154 (9936)
0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100Invested
$6.31
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.06
Record
59%
527-359 (886)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$816
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
144-79 (223)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bc5ab19...09c5ff
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-14-team-total-home-3pt5