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UnderOverUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
New Zealand vs. India: India O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 67%
Total Value
$8.78
Combined PnL
-$6.39
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$8.78
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$4.06
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$10.45
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Underavg 57¢ | $5 | $8.77 | +$3.77 | 38% 3782-6154 (9936) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $7.09 | — | -$7.09 | 38% 1303-2129 (3432) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100 | Underavg 57¢ | $4.4 | $0.01 | +$0.28 | 59% 527-359 (886) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 49% 4560-4822 (9382) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50¢ | $234 | — | +$0 | 65% 144-79 (223) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$5
Value
$8.77
PnL
+$3.77
Record
38%
3782-6154 (9936)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$7.09
Value
—
PnL
-$7.09
Record
38%
1303-2129 (3432)
0X
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.28
Record
59%
527-359 (886)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
49%
4560-4822 (9382)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$234
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
144-79 (223)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x05a2b832...318695
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-14-team-total-away-0pt5