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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Under β€” but Over won instead.

New Zealand vs. India: New Zealand O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Under 83%

Total Value

$17.04

Combined PnL

-$73.73

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares298
Combined PnL-$78.17
Over1 trader
Total Value$17.04
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$4.43
Under β€” 86%Over β€” 14%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x3ffbe640...367d34
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-12-team-total-home-1pt5
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