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UnderOverUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

New Zealand vs. India: New Zealand O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 83%
Total Value
$17.04
Combined PnL
-$73.73
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares298
Combined PnL-$78.17
Over1 trader
Total Value$17.04
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$4.43
Under β 86%Over β 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 26.9Β’ | $56.27 | β | -$56.27 | 51% 2503-2397 (4900) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 74Β’ | $12.61 | $17.04 | +$4.43 | 29% 49-119 (168) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $7.95 | β | -$7.95 | 36% 204-357 (561) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Underavg 25.1Β’ | $8.11 | β | -$8.11 | 40% 3240-4885 (8125) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 26Β’ | $4.43 | β | -$4.43 | 46% 433-502 (935) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 28Β’ | $1.4 | β | -$1.4 | 32% 528-1110 (1638) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50Β’ | $781 | β | +$0 | 84% 92-17 (109) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$56.27
Value
β
PnL
-$56.27
Record
51%
2503-2397 (4900)
RO
Rocky31<$100Invested
$12.61
Value
$17.04
PnL
+$4.43
Record
29%
49-119 (168)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
β
PnL
-$7.95
Record
36%
204-357 (561)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$8.11
Value
β
PnL
-$8.11
Record
40%
3240-4885 (8125)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$4.43
Value
β
PnL
-$4.43
Record
46%
433-502 (935)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.4
Record
32%
528-1110 (1638)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$781
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
92-17 (109)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ffbe640...367d34
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-12-team-total-home-1pt5