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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5

Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Under 80%

Total Value

$10.4K

Combined PnL

$43.58

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under9 traders
Total Value$10.4K
Total Shares10,426
Combined PnL+$58.56
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares158
Combined PnL-$14.98
Under — 75%Over — 25%
PE
pelik
Under

Invested

$3,465.66

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$3.47

Record

99%

1561-4 (1565)

GO
GoalLineGhost
Under

Invested

$3,075.24

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$44.99

Record

53%

2083-1825 (3908)

FL
Flaznorp
Under

Invested

$2,675.29

Value

$2.6K

PnL

-$39.88

Record

49%

3811-3974 (7785)

RO
Rocky31
Under

Invested

$599.84

Value

$678.01

PnL

+$78.17

Record

42%

100-138 (238)

Secondhandvinyl
Under

Invested

$340.07

Value

$373.47

PnL

+$33.4

Record

75%

234-76 (310)

RN1
Under

Invested

$165.67

Value

$178.94

PnL

+$13.27

Record

55%

5362-4303 (9665)

SN
SnakeBall<$100
Under

Invested

$51.06

Value

$55.5

PnL

+$4.44

Record

47%

895-992 (1887)

poshposhCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$13.23

Value

—

PnL

-$13.23

Record

48%

1104-1175 (2279)

AR
ARocky33<$100
Under

Invested

$4.62

Value

$5.13

PnL

+$0.51

Record

78%

786-220 (1006)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$27.57

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

48%

2067-2229 (4296)

SH
shiifooCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$10.29

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

61%

1424-903 (2327)

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Under

Invested

$317.29

Value

—

PnL

+$10.16

Record

82%

703-150 (853)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x4563079c...aaf6d4
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

PE

pelik

Under — $3.5K

+$3.47
GO

GoalLineGhost

Under — $3.0K

-$44.99
FL

Flaznorp

Under — $2.6K

-$39.88
RO

Rocky31

Under — $678.01

+$78.17

Secondhandvinyl

Under — $373.47

+$33.4

RN1

Under — $178.94

+$13.27
SN

SnakeBall

Under — $55.5

+$4.44

poshposh

CTR

Over — $0

-$13.23
AR

ARocky33

Under — $5.13

+$0.51
FE

ferdinand2

CTR

Over — $0

-$1.3
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