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UnderOverUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Japan vs. Brazil: Japan O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$65.89
Combined PnL
-$1.05
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares68
Combined PnL-$42.84
Over2 traders
Total Value$65.89
Total Shares66
Combined PnL+$41.79
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 63¢ | $39.23 | — | -$39.23 | 56% 462-367 (829) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 36.5¢ | $22.25 | $60.89 | +$38.64 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | $3.61 | — | -$3.61 | 39% 3645-5777 (9422) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 37¢ | $1.85 | $5 | +$3.15 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $514 | — | +$0 | 69% 131-59 (190) |
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$39.23
Value
—
PnL
-$39.23
Record
56%
462-367 (829)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$22.25
Value
$60.89
PnL
+$38.64
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$3.61
Value
—
PnL
-$3.61
Record
39%
3645-5777 (9422)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.15
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$514
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
131-59 (190)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x73eff5c3...ed2939
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-team-total-home-1pt5