Back to Markets
JapanJapanBrazilBrazilBrazil
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Japan — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Japan
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)
Resolved Japan. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Japan. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Japan 40%
Total Value
$2.0K
Combined PnL
-$86.45
Smart Money Signal
Japan
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Brazil0%
Japan100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Japan2 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,956
Combined PnL-$5.44
Brazil3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,020
Combined PnL-$81.01
Japan — 40%Brazil — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Japanavg 99.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$5.86 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
PV pvc975 | Japanavg 99.9¢ | $416.06 | $416.48 | +$0.42 | 99% 334-3 (337) |
MO mouzsynapseCTR<$100 | Brazilavg 4¢ | $79.29 | — | -$79.29 | 40% 117-175 (292) |
DV dv-pmCTR<$100 | Brazilavg 5¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 44% 30-38 (68) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Brazilavg 4¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,545.85
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$5.86
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
PV
pvc975Invested
$416.06
Value
$416.48
PnL
+$0.42
Record
99%
334-3 (337)
MO
mouzsynapseCTR<$100Invested
$79.29
Value
—
PnL
-$79.29
Record
40%
117-175 (292)
DV
dv-pmCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
44%
30-38 (68)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ceabbd8...c30d4e
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-spread-away-3pt5