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NoYes
VeryLucky888CTRYesYesYesYesYes
JohnLKellyJrCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Brazil?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 86%
Total Value
$24.78
Combined PnL
-$29.35
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$24.78
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$1.36
Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares585
Combined PnL-$30.71
No — 13%Yes — 87%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 94.5¢ | $23.41 | $24.78 | +$1.36 | 39% 3645-5777 (9422) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $14.49 | — | -$14.49 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Yesavg 3.5¢ | $285.68 | — | -$2.48 | 53% 1343-1170 (2513) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $3.11 | — | -$3.11 | 42% 991-1360 (2351) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.5¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 37% 353-603 (956) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.5¢ | $0.87 | — | -$0.87 | 59% 3763-2587 (6350) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
JohnLKellyJrCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.6¢ | $41.17 | — | -$7.93 | 45% 28-34 (62) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$23.41
Value
$24.78
PnL
+$1.36
Record
39%
3645-5777 (9422)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$14.49
Value
—
PnL
-$14.49
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$285.68
Value
—
PnL
-$2.48
Record
53%
1343-1170 (2513)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$3.11
Value
—
PnL
-$3.11
Record
42%
991-1360 (2351)
GC
GC-PCTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
37%
353-603 (956)
NM
NM-PCTR<$100Invested
$0.87
Value
—
PnL
-$0.87
Record
59%
3763-2587 (6350)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
JohnLKellyJrCTR<$100Invested
$41.17
Value
—
PnL
-$7.93
Record
45%
28-34 (62)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4f450a5b...a7d95a
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-exact-score-0-0