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EcuadorEcuadorEcuador
RN1CTR<$100Costa RicaCosta Rica
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Ecuador — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Ecuador
Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5)
Resolved Ecuador. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Ecuador. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Ecuador 60%
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
-$1.58
Smart Money Signal
Ecuador
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Costa Rica0%
Ecuador100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Ecuador3 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,591
Combined PnL+$3.91
Costa Rica2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,067
Combined PnL-$5.49
Ecuador — 60%Costa Rica — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Ecuadoravg 99.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.48 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Ecuadoravg 97.5¢ | $98.58 | $101 | +$2.42 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
PE pelik<$100 | Ecuadoravg 99.9¢ | $10.09 | $10.1 | +$0.01 | 99% 1530-4 (1534) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Costa Ricaavg 0.1¢ | $2.97 | — | -$2.97 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Costa Ricaavg 2.5¢ | $2.53 | — | -$2.53 | 45% 224-276 (500) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,478.51
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.48
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$98.58
Value
$101
PnL
+$2.42
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
PE
pelik<$100Invested
$10.09
Value
$10.1
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
1530-4 (1534)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.97
Value
—
PnL
-$2.97
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
FO
Forecastication2CTR<$100Invested
$2.53
Value
—
PnL
-$2.53
Record
45%
224-276 (500)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0aafe8d2...d523e8
Slug
fif-ecu-cri-2026-11-13-spread-away-1pt5