Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Ecuador vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
No 67%
$3.6K
$46.47
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 90.9¢ | $926.49 | $1.0K | +$90.08 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 91.9¢ | $920.48 | $1.0K | +$80.91 | 39% 3600-5658 (9258) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 93.6¢ | $632.52 | $477.84 | -$154.68 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 85¢ | $403.9 | $449 | +$45.1 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
NO NotJump | Noavg 91¢ | $350.02 | $374.74 | +$33.98 | 53% 750-672 (1422) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Noavg 90.9¢ | $171.2 | $171.87 | +$0.67 | 51% 2368-2313 (4681) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 84.9¢ | $59.57 | $69.19 | +$9.62 | 28% 298-748 (1046) |
GC GC-P<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | $19.22 | $22.88 | +$3.66 | 36% 319-557 (876) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $31.93 | — | -$31.93 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
CA CandleHammerDrums<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | $10.11 | $11.11 | +$1 | 48% 465-495 (960) |
NE Next-Licensing<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $10.4 | $10.41 | +$0.01 | 97% 136-4 (140) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.4¢ | $16.18 | — | -$6.42 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $11.73 | — | -$11.73 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $3.61 | — | -$3.61 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
Invested
$926.49
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$90.08
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$920.48
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$80.91
Record
39%
3600-5658 (9258)
Invested
$632.52
Value
$477.84
PnL
-$154.68
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$403.9
Value
$449
PnL
+$45.1
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
Invested
$350.02
Value
$374.74
PnL
+$33.98
Record
53%
750-672 (1422)
Invested
$171.2
Value
$171.87
PnL
+$0.67
Record
51%
2368-2313 (4681)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$59.57
Value
$69.19
PnL
+$9.62
Record
28%
298-748 (1046)
Invested
$19.22
Value
$22.88
PnL
+$3.66
Record
36%
319-557 (876)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$31.93
Value
—
PnL
-$31.93
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$10.11
Value
$11.11
PnL
+$1
Record
48%
465-495 (960)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$10.41
PnL
+$0.01
Record
97%
136-4 (140)
Invested
$16.18
Value
—
PnL
-$6.42
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$11.73
Value
—
PnL
-$11.73
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
Invested
$3.61
Value
—
PnL
-$3.61
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)