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Yes
VeryLucky888<$100NoYesNoYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Colombia vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$199.32
Combined PnL
-$55.55
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$74.52
Total Shares75
Combined PnL+$21.9
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares173
Combined PnL-$77.45
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 40.7¢ | $201.49 | $124.8 | -$76.69 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 71.6¢ | $89.32 | $124.8 | +$35.48 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 40.7¢ | $112.17 | — | -$112.17 | |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 54.1¢ | $25.82 | $47.69 | +$21.87 | 53% 1186-1032 (2218) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 45¢ | $42.67 | — | -$42.67 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
PE pelik<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $26.8 | $26.83 | +$0.03 | 99% 1530-4 (1534) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 45¢ | $26.78 | — | -$26.78 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42.6¢ | $8.01 | — | -$8.01 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $174 | — | +$0 | 73% 119-43 (162) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$201.49
Value
$124.8
PnL
-$76.69
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Both legs:
No$89.3271.6¢+$35.48
Yes$112.1740.7¢-$112.17
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$25.82
Value
$47.69
PnL
+$21.87
Record
53%
1186-1032 (2218)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$42.67
Value
—
PnL
-$42.67
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
PE
pelik<$100Invested
$26.8
Value
$26.83
PnL
+$0.03
Record
99%
1530-4 (1534)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$26.78
Value
—
PnL
-$26.78
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$8.01
Value
—
PnL
-$8.01
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$174
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
119-43 (162)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x59bc4d84...fcf7cc
Slug
fif-col-chl-2026-11-13-btts