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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Argentina vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5

Resolved Under. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Under 38%

Total Value

$102.8K

Combined PnL

-$366.02

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 13 top traders (38%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders
Total Value$102.8K
Total Shares102,783
Combined PnL+$856.24
Over8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares102,898
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Under — 38%Over — 62%
AL
alohaa
Under

Invested

$97,452.85

Value

$98.4K

PnL

+$977.15

Record

—

18-1 (19)

NE
Next-Licensing
Under

Invested

$3,652.05

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$3.66

Record

97%

128-4 (132)

RN1
Under

Invested

$653.79

Value

$550.59

PnL

-$103.2

Record

56%

5043-4004 (9047)

0X
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR
Over

Invested

$989.63

Value

—

PnL

-$989.63

Record

51%

3833-3620 (7453)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
Over

Invested

$214.11

Value

—

PnL

-$214.11

Record

54%

2013-1746 (3759)

NO
NotJump
Under

Invested

$107.06

Value

$105

PnL

-$2.06

Record

53%

750-669 (1419)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
Under

Invested

$60.63

Value

$41.32

PnL

-$19.31

Record

37%

819-1385 (2204)

dips.CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$5.63

Value

—

PnL

-$5.63

Record

47%

860-963 (1823)

SM
smithagentCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

44%

599-749 (1348)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$2.86

Value

—

PnL

-$2.86

Record

35%

424-772 (1196)

FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$4.4

Value

—

PnL

-$4.4

Record

50%

3526-3585 (7111)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$2.52

Value

—

PnL

-$2.52

Record

46%

2333-2789 (5122)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

53%

6885-6020 (12905)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x543bc4c5...a2f8ec
Slug
fif-arg-ury-2026-11-13-total-4pt5

Traders in this Market

AL

alohaa

Under — $98.4K

+$977.15
NE

Next-Licensing

Under — $3.7K

+$3.66

RN1

Under — $550.59

-$103.2
0X

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

CTR

Over — $0

-$989.63
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Over — $0

-$214.11
NO

NotJump

Under — $105

-$2.06
TO

topdogbigboi

Under — $41.32

-$19.31

dips.

CTR

Over — $0

-$5.63
SM

smithagent

CTR

Over — $0

-$1.2
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Over — $0

-$2.86
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