Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Argentina vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 48%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$29.0K

Combined PnL

-$804.22

Smart Money Signal

Over

12 of 24 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over12 traders

Total Value$17.2K

Total Shares17,213

Combined PnL+$6.0K

Under12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares13,527

Combined PnL$-6.8K

Over — 50%Under — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1ARB<$100	Underavg 55.1¢	$9.8K	$6.4K	$-3.4K	56% 5043-4004 (9047)
└ Over leg	Overavg 51.8¢	$3.3K	$6.4K	+$3.1K
└ Under leg	Underavg 55.1¢	$6.4K	—	$-6.4K
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Underavg 51.9¢	$7.2K	$5.3K	$-2.0K	54% 2013-1746 (3759)
└ Over leg	Overavg 48.6¢	$2.6K	$5.3K	+$2.7K
└ Under leg	Underavg 51.9¢	$4.7K	—	$-4.7K
JA Jackenxand	Overavg 99.9¢	$7.3K	$7.3K	+$7.27	100% 37-0 (37)
FL Flaznorp	Overavg 47.9¢	$2.3K	$4.8K	+$2.5K	50% 3526-3585 (7111)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 33.2¢	$1.2K	$2.7K	+$1.5K	37% 819-1385 (2204)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Underavg 51.3¢	$3.0K	—	$-3.0K	51% 2364-2297 (4661)
VeryLucky888CTR	Underavg 51.5¢	$1.9K	—	$-1.9K	53% 1179-1029 (2208)
SU suntori	Overavg 50.3¢	$622.46	$1.2K	+$615.54	46% 2333-2789 (5122)
CI cigarettes	Overavg 27.9¢	$170.32	$610.53	+$440.22	53% 6885-6020 (12905)
MU Multicoloured-SerfCTR	Underavg 49¢	$557.14	—	-$557.14	49% 615-642 (1257)
LI LimousinCTR	Underavg 32.9¢	$310.24	—	-$310.24	36% 879-1566 (2445)
dips.	Overavg 21.5¢	$91.18	$327.83	+$236.65	47% 860-963 (1823)
ZZ Zzzz87CTR	Underavg 53¢	$444.67	—	-$444.67	63% 82-49 (131)
SU suitcase6628	Overavg 20.1¢	$82.43	$248	+$225.57	64% 527-296 (823)
SecondhandvinylCTR	Underavg 71.9¢	$285.97	—	-$285.97	74% 207-71 (278)
poshposhARB<$100	Underavg 64¢	$119.5	$83.93	-$35.57	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
└ Over leg	Overavg 28¢	$23.5	$83.93	+$60.43
└ Under leg	Underavg 64¢	$96	—	-$96
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 31.6¢	$94.22	—	-$94.22	36% 910-1584 (2494)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR	Underavg 52.4¢	$153.78	—	-$153.78	56% 426-340 (766)
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100	Underavg 87¢	$89.52	—	-$89.52	60% 702-476 (1178)
SE sentrio<$100	Overavg 46.8¢	$26.64	$31.43	+$4.79	43% 915-1235 (2150)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Underavg 63¢	$55.44	—	-$55.44	45% 706-873 (1579)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Overavg 28¢	$6.89	$24.62	+$17.73	35% 424-772 (1196)
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7<$100	Overavg 47¢	$4.99	$10.62	+$5.63	21% 54-205 (259)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 33¢	$7.2	—	-$7.2	37% 924-1557 (2481)
NO NotJumpCTR<$100	Underavg 58¢	$36.84	—	-$14.89	53% 750-669 (1419)