Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was No β and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Uruguay?
Resolved No. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
No 22%
2 arb excluded
$1.9K
-$73.22
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 83.8Β’ | $1.4K | $1.7K | +$271.84 | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Yesavg 13.5Β’ | $131.33 | β | -$131.33 | 36% 910-1584 (2494) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.3Β’ | $78.87 | β | -$78.87 | 36% 879-1566 (2445) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Noavg 70Β’ | $81.78 | $69.99 | -$11.79 | 56% 5043-4004 (9047) |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 12.5Β’ | $32.78 | β | -$32.78 | |
| β No leg | Noavg 70Β’ | $49 | $69.99 | +$21 | |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.4Β’ | $48.61 | β | -$48.61 | 37% 924-1557 (2481) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.1Β’ | $56.8 | β | -$56.8 | 48% 852-928 (1780) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 23.3Β’ | $69.7 | $33.2 | -$36.5 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 23.3Β’ | $46.46 | β | -$46.46 | |
| β No leg | Noavg 70Β’ | $23.24 | $33.2 | +$9.96 | |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100 | Noavg 92.5Β’ | $85.42 | $92.38 | +$6.97 | 34% 239-474 (713) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.8Β’ | $11.66 | β | -$6.92 | 53% 1179-1029 (2208) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22Β’ | $23.05 | β | -$23.05 | 36% 890-1596 (2486) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 29Β’ | $6.45 | β | -$6.45 | 43% 915-1235 (2150) |
Invested
$1,438
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$271.84
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
Invested
$131.33
Value
β
PnL
-$131.33
Record
36%
910-1584 (2494)
Invested
$78.87
Value
β
PnL
-$78.87
Record
36%
879-1566 (2445)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$81.78
Value
$69.99
PnL
-$11.79
Record
56%
5043-4004 (9047)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.61
Value
β
PnL
-$48.61
Record
37%
924-1557 (2481)
Invested
$56.8
Value
β
PnL
-$56.8
Record
48%
852-928 (1780)
Invested
$69.7
Value
$33.2
PnL
-$36.5
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.42
Value
$92.38
PnL
+$6.97
Record
34%
239-474 (713)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$11.66
Value
β
PnL
-$6.92
Record
53%
1179-1029 (2208)
Invested
$23.05
Value
β
PnL
-$23.05
Record
36%
890-1596 (2486)
Invested
$6.45
Value
β
PnL
-$6.45
Record
43%
915-1235 (2150)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
topdogbigboi
No β $1.7K
LightParadox
CTRYes β $0
Limousin
CTRYes β $0

RN1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
MadridTime
CTRYes β $0
SnakeBall
CTRYes β $0
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
No β $92.38

VeryLucky888
CTRYes β $0
Venusian
CTRYes β $0