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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 PM ET?

Resolved Yes. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

37

Yes 69%

Total Value

$41.6K

Combined PnL

$2.6K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

25 of 37 top traders (68%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes25 traders
Total Value$41.6K
Total Shares41,559
Combined PnL+$6.1K
No12 traders
Total Value$44.06
Total Shares19,828
Combined PnL$-3.5K
Yes — 68%No — 32%
SA
SaylorMoon
Yes

Invested

$16,848.95

Value

$20.0K

PnL

+$3.2K

Record

4%

2-53 (55)

CI
cigarettes
Yes

Invested

$6,091.21

Value

$7.0K

PnL

+$873.23

Record

53%

6903-6063 (12966)

Mr-Krabs
Yes

Invested

$2,945.1

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$646.49

Record

—

1-2 (3)

PA
PacersThreeandahalf
Yes

Invested

$3,036.96

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$3.04

Record

61%

1027-652 (1679)

GrokEnjoyer
Yes

Invested

$1,949.2

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$427.87

Record

9%

3-29 (32)

theta-thunberg
Yes

Invested

$1,760

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$240

Record

—

3-11 (14)

Car
Yes

Invested

$3,021.68

Value

$741.28

PnL

+$256.77

Record

68%

1406-651 (2057)

realbengvir
Yes

Invested

$715.68

Value

$730.29

PnL

+$14.61

Record

5%

1-20 (21)

0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Yes

Invested

$440.14

Value

$520

PnL

+$79.86

Record

—

4-1 (5)

probability
Yes

Invested

$300.92

Value

$307.06

PnL

+$6.14

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Yes

Invested

$2,834.49

Value

$270

PnL

+$174.56

Record

65%

4292-2315 (6607)

Slowroasted
Yes

Invested

$265.67

Value

$266.98

PnL

+$1.31

Record

—

2-0 (2)

Relaccsed
Yes

Invested

$209.98

Value

$249.98

PnL

+$40

Record

79%

22-6 (28)

NO
nonkenny90
Yes

Invested

$117.39

Value

$129

PnL

+$11.61

Record

—

17-2 (19)

0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642
Yes

Invested

$94.23

Value

$111

PnL

+$16.77

Record

—

8-8 (16)

ifyouloveme<$100
Yes

Invested

$50

Value

$60.24

PnL

+$10.24

Record

53%

280-250 (530)

GH
ghorrock<$100
Yes

Invested

$48.62

Value

$54.77

PnL

+$8.23

Record

53%

1598-1443 (3041)

Talophex<$100
Yes

Invested

$45

Value

$50

PnL

+$5

Record

12%

3-23 (26)

Tenebrus7
Yes

Invested

$221.49

Value

$49.99

PnL

+$8.5

Record

10%

5-44 (49)

SU
SunlineTickerCTR<$100
No

Invested

$94.6

Value

$44

PnL

-$50.6

Record

70%

1715-741 (2456)

OK
okcoolstorybro<$100
Yes

Invested

$24.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$0.25

Record

—

6-5 (11)

NO
NotJumpCTR
No

Invested

$1,055.52

Value

$0.06

PnL

-$53.37

Record

53%

759-682 (1441)

HoshinoAI
Yes

Invested

$682.84

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$5.94

Record

29%

20-48 (68)

Lolakis
Yes

Invested

$1,811.17

Value

$0

PnL

+$116.09

Record

20%

8-32 (40)

WA
WarriorH<$100
Yes

Invested

$61.92

Value

$0

PnL

-$0.53

Record

10%

15-132 (147)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x66db4efa...b532d0
Slug
faa-nationwide-ground-stop-lifted-by-november-14-12pm-et

Traders in this Market

SA

SaylorMoon

Yes — $20.0K

+$3.2K
CI

cigarettes

Yes — $7.0K

+$873.23

Mr-Krabs

Yes — $3.6K

+$646.49
PA

PacersThreeandahalf

Yes — $3.0K

+$3.04

GrokEnjoyer

Yes — $2.4K

+$427.87

theta-thunberg

Yes — $2.0K

+$240

Car

Yes — $741.28

+$256.77

realbengvir

Yes — $730.29

+$14.61
0X

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Yes — $520

+$79.86

probability

Yes — $307.06

+$6.14
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