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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ET?

Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

47

Yes 67%

Total Value

$37.8K

Combined PnL

-$333.12

Smart Money Signal

Yes

28 of 47 top traders (60%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes28 traders
Total Value$37.6K
Total Shares37,589
Combined PnL+$14.4K
No19 traders
Total Value$257.08
Total Shares22,126
Combined PnL$-14.7K
Yes — 60%No — 40%
0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Yes

Invested

$8,772.66

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$320.82

Record

—

4-1 (5)

GollumGekko
Yes

Invested

$3,853.78

Value

$7.1K

PnL

+$6.4K

Record

—

2-3 (5)

SA
SaylorMoon
Yes

Invested

$4,879.79

Value

$5.6K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

4%

2-53 (55)

CI
cigarettes
Yes

Invested

$2,154.92

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

53%

6903-6063 (12966)

PA
PacersThreeandahalf
Yes

Invested

$2,852.15

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$308.86

Record

61%

1027-652 (1679)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
Yes

Invested

$2,049.2

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$183.35

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

probability
Yes

Invested

$1,707.32

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$101.9

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

G.Hchen
Yes

Invested

$806.5

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$398.42

Record

6%

7-101 (108)

0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642
Yes

Invested

$1,248.07

Value

$970.25

PnL

+$305.87

Record

—

8-8 (16)

OK
okcoolstorybro
Yes

Invested

$742.4

Value

$915.01

PnL

+$172.61

Record

—

6-5 (11)

PU
purplegatto
Yes

Invested

$944.68

Value

$868

PnL

-$76.68

Record

68%

2630-1225 (3855)

Sardinianshepherd
Yes

Invested

$365.83

Value

$622.83

PnL

+$257

Record

4%

3-65 (68)

88
881112
Yes

Invested

$197.59

Value

$510.22

PnL

+$362.63

Record

1%

4-423 (427)

SB
sbimbg
Yes

Invested

$400.15

Value

$506.47

PnL

+$223.6

Record

—

8-3 (11)

PB
pbshine
Yes

Invested

$358.86

Value

$448.58

PnL

+$89.72

Record

—

9-8 (17)

DO
dogerfad
Yes

Invested

$484.6

Value

$440.99

PnL

-$43.61

Record

—

4-2 (6)

SU
SunlineTickerCTR
No

Invested

$1,053.03

Value

$257.08

PnL

-$795.95

Record

70%

1715-741 (2456)

paddaa
Yes

Invested

$3,249.39

Value

$183.77

PnL

+$221.16

Record

60%

503-336 (839)

StarMaster
Yes

Invested

$1,057.5

Value

$100

PnL

-$118.02

Record

—

7-5 (12)

FL
Flobodan<$100
Yes

Invested

$32

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$68

Record

—

2-6 (8)

NO
NotJump
Yes

Invested

$2,304.24

Value

$40.12

PnL

-$384.05

Record

53%

759-682 (1441)

CH
ChuDebbieSharp
Yes

Invested

$346.13

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$196.21

Record

—

1-0 (1)

Nostdam
Yes

Invested

$245

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$21

Record

10%

13-116 (129)

smellyEllie
Yes

Invested

$737.19

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$503.03

Record

41%

9-13 (22)

HoshinoAI
Yes

Invested

$679.66

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$71.94

Record

29%

20-48 (68)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xc34866f3...c87e40
Slug
faa-nationwide-ground-stop-lifted-by-november-13-1159pm-et

Traders in this Market

0X

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Yes — $8.1K

+$320.82

GollumGekko

Yes — $7.1K

+$6.4K
SA

SaylorMoon

Yes — $5.6K

+$1.9K
CI

cigarettes

Yes — $3.7K

+$1.5K
PA

PacersThreeandahalf

Yes — $2.5K

-$308.86
XT

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $1.9K

+$183.35

probability

Yes — $1.8K

+$101.9

G.Hchen

Yes — $1.2K

+$398.42

0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642

Yes — $970.25

+$305.87
OK

okcoolstorybro

Yes — $915.01

+$172.61
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