Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Paris Basketball β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Paris Basketball

Spread: Fenerbahce (-6.5)
Resolved Paris Basketball. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Paris Basketball. The smart money was right.
π
Won
4
Paris Basketball 50%
1 arb excluded
$7.1K
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975 | Paris Basketballavg 99.9Β’ | $7.0K | $7.0K | +$7 | 98% 94-2 (96) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Fenerbahceavg 44Β’ | $1.8K | β | $-1.8K | 52% 490-447 (937) |
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CTR | Fenerbahceavg 43.9Β’ | $997.79 | β | -$997.79 | 4% 8-201 (209) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Fenerbahceavg 35.8Β’ | $378.77 | $124.47 | -$254.3 | 51% 1908-1842 (3750) |
| β Fenerbahce leg | Fenerbahceavg 35.8Β’ | $292.64 | β | -$292.64 | |
| β Paris Basketball leg | Paris Basketballavg 69.2Β’ | $86.12 | $124.47 | +$38.35 | |
LR lryyy<$100 | Paris Basketballavg 67Β’ | $2.58 | $3.85 | +$1.27 | 45% 249-302 (551) |
Invested
$6,993
Value
$7.0K
PnL
+$7
Record
98%
94-2 (96)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,760
Value
β
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
52%
490-447 (937)
Invested
$997.79
Value
β
PnL
-$997.79
Record
4%
8-201 (209)
Invested
$378.77
Value
$124.47
PnL
-$254.3
Record
51%
1908-1842 (3750)
Both legs:
Invested
$2.58
Value
$3.85
PnL
+$1.27
Record
45%
249-302 (551)