Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 60%
$421.64
-$294.25
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 38.5¢ | $204.86 | — | -$204.86 | 51% 10690-10141 (20831) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $180.14 | $204.05 | +$23.9 | 45% 40240-48232 (88472) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 73.1¢ | $73.51 | $59.95 | -$13.56 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $49.63 | $40.58 | -$9.05 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $45.33 | — | -$45.33 | 56% 60679-47194 (107873) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $51.5 | $34 | -$17.5 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $23.02 | $26.31 | +$3.29 | 49% 81117-84565 (165682) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $18.37 | $19.65 | +$1.28 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 63% 42543-25276 (67819) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $12.88 | $10 | -$2.86 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $9.81 | $15.1 | +$5.29 | 65% 114714-61743 (176457) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $9.06 | — | -$9.06 | 66% 130798-67676 (198474) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $6.69 | $12 | +$5.31 | 30% 12233-28187 (40420) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $14.1 | — | -$14.1 | 58% 63423-46617 (110040) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 61% 46204-29379 (75583) |
Invested
$204.86
Value
—
PnL
-$204.86
Record
51%
10690-10141 (20831)
pspspsps5Invested
$180.14
Value
$204.05
PnL
+$23.9
Record
45%
40240-48232 (88472)
Invested
$73.51
Value
$59.95
PnL
-$13.56
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
Invested
$49.63
Value
$40.58
PnL
-$9.05
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
Invested
$45.33
Value
—
PnL
-$45.33
Record
56%
60679-47194 (107873)
Invested
$51.5
Value
$34
PnL
-$17.5
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.02
Value
$26.31
PnL
+$3.29
Record
49%
81117-84565 (165682)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$18.37
Value
$19.65
PnL
+$1.28
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
63%
42543-25276 (67819)
Invested
$12.88
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.86
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
Invested
$9.81
Value
$15.1
PnL
+$5.29
Record
65%
114714-61743 (176457)
Invested
$9.06
Value
—
PnL
-$9.06
Record
66%
130798-67676 (198474)
Invested
$6.69
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.31
Record
30%
12233-28187 (40420)
Invested
$14.1
Value
—
PnL
-$14.1
Record
58%
63423-46617 (110040)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
61%
46204-29379 (75583)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
Down — $204.05
asdcaxz
Down — $59.95
blue.birds
Down — $40.58
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $34
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $26.31
MayorMamdani
Down — $19.65
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $10