Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 93% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 93%
1 arb excluded
$801.44
$38.21
Smart Money Signal
14 of 15 top traders (93%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 89.8¢ | $220.15 | $245.13 | +$24.98 | 45% 40240-48232 (88472) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $163.49 | $123.72 | -$39.78 | 51% 10690-10141 (20831) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $105.28 | $106.59 | +$1.31 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 77¢ | $82.09 | $106.59 | +$24.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 11.3¢ | $23.19 | — | -$23.19 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $34.53 | $49 | +$14.47 | 58% 39867-28830 (68697) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $44.4 | $51 | +$6.6 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $34.6 | $34.95 | +$0.35 | 89% 29513-3559 (33072) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 58.7¢ | $21.97 | $30 | +$8.03 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 68.7¢ | $34.39 | $50.06 | +$15.67 | 49% 81117-84565 (165682) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $29.4 | $24.12 | -$5.28 | 61% 46204-29379 (75583) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 89.9¢ | $17.98 | $20 | +$2.02 | 63% 42543-25276 (67819) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $14.76 | $17 | +$2.24 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $11.95 | $13.76 | +$1.81 | 66% 130798-67676 (198474) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $14.29 | $20 | +$5.71 | 58% 63423-46617 (110040) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6¢ | $4.56 | — | -$4.56 | 65% 114714-61743 (176457) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $5.71 | $11 | +$5.29 | 30% 12233-28187 (40420) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $4.44 | $5.11 | +$0.67 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
pspspsps5Invested
$220.15
Value
$245.13
PnL
+$24.98
Record
45%
40240-48232 (88472)
Invested
$163.49
Value
$123.72
PnL
-$39.78
Record
51%
10690-10141 (20831)
Invested
$105.28
Value
$106.59
PnL
+$1.31
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
Both legs:
Invested
$34.53
Value
$49
PnL
+$14.47
Record
58%
39867-28830 (68697)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$44.4
Value
$51
PnL
+$6.6
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
Invested
$34.6
Value
$34.95
PnL
+$0.35
Record
89%
29513-3559 (33072)
Invested
$21.97
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.03
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$34.39
Value
$50.06
PnL
+$15.67
Record
49%
81117-84565 (165682)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$29.4
Value
$24.12
PnL
-$5.28
Record
61%
46204-29379 (75583)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.02
Record
63%
42543-25276 (67819)
Invested
$14.76
Value
$17
PnL
+$2.24
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
Invested
$11.95
Value
$13.76
PnL
+$1.81
Record
66%
130798-67676 (198474)
Invested
$14.29
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.71
Record
58%
63423-46617 (110040)
Invested
$4.56
Value
—
PnL
-$4.56
Record
65%
114714-61743 (176457)
Invested
$5.71
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.29
Record
30%
12233-28187 (40420)
Invested
$4.44
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.67
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
pspspsps5
Up — $245.13
ply-pm2
Up — $123.72
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $49
MayorMamdani
Up — $51
hoodquant
Up — $34.95
blue.birds
Up — $30
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $50.06
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $24.12
ohioism
Up — $20