Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 73%
$163.1
-$12.21
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.4Β’ | $38.13 | $45.71 | +$7.58 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.4Β’ | $41.27 | $50.68 | +$9.41 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.3Β’ | $23.22 | $25.71 | +$2.49 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $20.95 | β | -$20.95 | 52% 12334-11372 (23706) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.1Β’ | $16.1 | $18.08 | +$1.98 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 91.6Β’ | $10.42 | $11.38 | +$0.96 | 58% 63311-46525 (109836) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5Β’ | $12.76 | β | -$12.76 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 92.5Β’ | $3.7 | $4 | +$0.3 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.3Β’ | $3.82 | $5 | +$1.18 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 90.6Β’ | $2.3 | $2.54 | +$0.24 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $2.64 | β | -$2.64 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
Invested
$38.13
Value
$45.71
PnL
+$7.58
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$41.27
Value
$50.68
PnL
+$9.41
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Invested
$23.22
Value
$25.71
PnL
+$2.49
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$20.95
Value
β
PnL
-$20.95
Record
52%
12334-11372 (23706)
Invested
$16.1
Value
$18.08
PnL
+$1.98
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Invested
$10.42
Value
$11.38
PnL
+$0.96
Record
58%
63311-46525 (109836)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$12.76
Value
β
PnL
-$12.76
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.3
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
Invested
$3.82
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.18
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$2.54
PnL
+$0.24
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
β
PnL
-$2.64
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $45.71
asdcaxz
Down β $50.68
asidjasiodja
Down β $25.71
PBot-5
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $18.08
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $11.38

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $4
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $5
blue.birds
Down β $2.54