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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$925.7

Combined PnL

$65.53

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 12 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$817.88

Total Shares818

Combined PnL+$65.53

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 64.2¢	$165.99	$206.8	+$40.81	51% 10412-9893 (20305)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 73.9¢	$183.79	$171.58	-$12.21	47% 6449-7132 (13581)
BL blue.birdsARB<$100	Downavg 59.9¢	$110.71	$107.82	-$2.89	51% 11991-11459 (23450)
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.9¢	$64.6	$107.82	+$43.22
└ Up leg	Upavg 31.2¢	$46.11	—	-$46.11
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 90.6¢	$143.03	$101.11	-$41.92	56% 77327-59680 (137007)
pspspsps5	Downavg 70.7¢	$93.54	$132.37	+$38.82	45% 40028-47949 (87977)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 71.3¢	$71.45	$100.16	+$28.71	49% 80875-84321 (165196)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 89.7¢	$40.36	$45	+$4.64	58% 63200-46432 (109632)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 83.7¢	$18.36	$20.72	+$2.35	55% 51597-42791 (94388)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 90.6¢	$15.38	$13.14	-$2.24	61% 98514-62493 (161007)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 73.9¢	$15.11	$10	-$0.38	65% 130132-70051 (200183)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$6.09	$12	+$5.91	56% 60462-47011 (107473)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 77¢	$5.2	$5	-$0.2	66% 130543-67485 (198028)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99.1¢	$130.77	—	+$1.23	89% 29171-3554 (32725)

Invested

$165.99

Value

$206.8

PnL

+$40.81

Record

51%

10412-9893 (20305)

Invested

$183.79

Value

$171.58

PnL

-$12.21

Record

47%

6449-7132 (13581)

blue.birdsARB<$100

Invested

$110.71

Value

$107.82

PnL

-$2.89

Record

51%

11991-11459 (23450)

Both legs:

Down$64.659.9¢+$43.22

Up$46.1131.2¢-$46.11

uninformedfloww

Invested

$143.03

Value

$101.11

PnL

-$41.92

Record

56%

77327-59680 (137007)

Invested

$93.54

Value

$132.37

PnL

+$38.82

Record

45%

40028-47949 (87977)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$71.45

Value

$100.16

PnL

+$28.71

Record

49%

80875-84321 (165196)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$40.36

Value

$45

PnL

+$4.64

Record

58%

63200-46432 (109632)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$18.36

Value

$20.72

PnL

+$2.35

Record

55%

51597-42791 (94388)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$15.38

Value

$13.14

PnL

-$2.24

Record

61%

98514-62493 (161007)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$15.11

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.38

Record

65%

130132-70051 (200183)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$6.09

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.91

Record

56%

60462-47011 (107473)

Invested

$5.2

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.2

Record

66%

130543-67485 (198028)

Invested

$130.77

Value

—

PnL

+$1.23

Record

89%

29171-3554 (32725)

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 12 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x645b9ae4...7aafc9

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793992800

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $206.8

asdcaxz

Down — $171.58

blue.birds

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $101.11

pspspsps5

Down — $132.37

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $100.16

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $45

MayorMamdani

Down — $20.72

asidjasiodja

Down — $13.14

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10

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