Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 89%
$531.21
$131.56
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 30.5¢ | $91.48 | $202.01 | +$110.53 | 54% 14576-12422 (26998) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $97.72 | $100.28 | +$2.56 | 51% 8396-7911 (16307) |
 wowitsamazing | Downavg 66.8¢ | $79.2 | $118.52 | +$39.32 | 57% 12757-9483 (22240) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.6¢ | $57.48 | — | -$57.48 | 64% 58895-33457 (92352) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 37.6¢ | $74.18 | $55.59 | +$9.61 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 56.5¢ | $9.5 | $16.81 | +$7.31 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $7.68 | $8 | +$0.32 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $5.6 | $20 | +$14.4 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 58% 51347-37467 (88814) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20368-19455 (39823) |
Invested
$91.48
Value
$202.01
PnL
+$110.53
Record
54%
14576-12422 (26998)
Invested
$97.72
Value
$100.28
PnL
+$2.56
Record
51%
8396-7911 (16307)
wowitsamazingInvested
$79.2
Value
$118.52
PnL
+$39.32
Record
57%
12757-9483 (22240)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$57.48
Value
—
PnL
-$57.48
Record
64%
58895-33457 (92352)
Invested
$74.18
Value
$55.59
PnL
+$9.61
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$16.81
PnL
+$7.31
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$7.68
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.32
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$14.4
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
51347-37467 (88814)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20368-19455 (39823)
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