Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 75%
$181.42
$8.02
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $73.54 | $72.81 | -$0.74 | 51% 8396-7911 (16307) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 99.4¢ | $49.7 | $50 | +$0.3 | 64% 58895-33457 (92352) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $22.57 | $27.5 | +$4.93 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $14.22 | $17.78 | +$3.56 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $5 | $8.33 | +$3.33 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 24291-1810 (26101) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.6¢ | $2.39 | — | -$2.39 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $1.03 | — | -$1.03 | 54% 15427-13316 (28743) |
Invested
$73.54
Value
$72.81
PnL
-$0.74
Record
51%
8396-7911 (16307)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$49.7
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.3
Record
64%
58895-33457 (92352)
Invested
$22.57
Value
$27.5
PnL
+$4.93
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$14.22
Value
$17.78
PnL
+$3.56
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$5
Value
$8.33
PnL
+$3.33
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
24291-1810 (26101)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.39
Value
—
PnL
-$2.39
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$1.03
Value
—
PnL
-$1.03
Record
54%
15427-13316 (28743)
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