Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Zamora CF win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
No 100%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
$539.05
Smart Money Signal
11 of 11 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$1.66 | 99% 1687-5 (1692) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 94.4¢ | $469.79 | $223.2 | -$246.58 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 94.4¢ | $402.61 | — | -$402.61 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 30.1¢ | $67.18 | $223.2 | +$156.02 | |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 3.7¢ | $10.73 | $290.05 | +$279.32 | 35% 635-1160 (1795) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 9.5¢ | $24.25 | $256.13 | +$231.88 | 52% 2494-2286 (4780) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 34.6¢ | $8.65 | $25 | +$16.35 | 38% 1332-2185 (3517) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 99% 664-9 (673) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 51¢ | $2.75 | $5.4 | +$2.65 | 56% 656-516 (1172) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 38% 1354-2191 (3545) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 38% 1354-2217 (3571) |
![]() tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 52¢ | $0.1 | $0.2 | +$0.1 | 34% 476-910 (1386) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 51¢ | $7.75 | $0 | +$0.15 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA | Noavg 99.1¢ | $154.14 | $0 | +$1.24 | 83% 978-205 (1183) |
Invested
$1,655.38
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.66
Record
99%
1687-5 (1692)
Invested
$469.79
Value
$223.2
PnL
-$246.58
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Both legs:
Invested
$10.73
Value
$290.05
PnL
+$279.32
Record
35%
635-1160 (1795)
Invested
$24.25
Value
$256.13
PnL
+$231.88
Record
52%
2494-2286 (4780)
Invested
$8.65
Value
$25
PnL
+$16.35
Record
38%
1332-2185 (3517)
Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
99%
664-9 (673)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$5.4
PnL
+$2.65
Record
56%
656-516 (1172)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
38%
1354-2191 (3545)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
38%
1354-2217 (3571)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
$0.2
PnL
+$0.1
Record
34%
476-910 (1386)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.75
Value
$0
PnL
+$0.15
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$154.14
Value
$0
PnL
+$1.24
Record
83%
978-205 (1183)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
pelik
No — $1.7K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LuckyLoo
No — $290.05
GoalLineGhost
No — $256.13
Limousin
No — $25
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
No — $20
LeLynxMalynx
No — $5.4
MadridTime
No — $5
Venusian
No — $5

tradecraft
No — $0.2