Back to Markets
NoNo
VeryLucky888<$100NoNo
tradecraft<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Real Aviles CF win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$171.6
Combined PnL
-$80.23
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$171.6
Total Shares172
Combined PnL-$79.63
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares8
Combined PnL-$0.6
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 92.2¢ | $124.04 | $88.62 | -$35.41 | 52% 2494-2286 (4780) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 98.3¢ | $110.78 | $62.49 | -$48.29 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.3 | $10 | +$2.7 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
PE pelik<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $5.4 | $5.41 | +$0.01 | 99% 1687-5 (1692) |
tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $3.71 | $5.08 | +$1.37 | 34% 476-910 (1386) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 48% 2555-2763 (5318) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$124.04
Value
$88.62
PnL
-$35.41
Record
52%
2494-2286 (4780)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$110.78
Value
$62.49
PnL
-$48.29
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.7
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
PE
pelik<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$5.41
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
1687-5 (1692)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$3.71
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$1.37
Record
34%
476-910 (1386)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
48%
2555-2763 (5318)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x236bf6fb...75cd95
Slug
es3-zam-avi-2026-11-15-avi