Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
CF Rayo Majadahonda vs. Aguilas FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Under 25%
2 arb excluded
$1.9K
$429.82
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MaoZeDonK | Underavg 50.2¢ | $600 | $1.2K | +$594.92 | 57% 38-29 (67) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 49.6¢ | $517.6 | $504.76 | -$12.84 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 37¢ | $186.76 | $504.76 | +$318 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 49.6¢ | $330.84 | — | -$330.84 | |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 54.4¢ | $542.35 | $155.17 | -$387.17 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 54.4¢ | $451.6 | — | -$451.6 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 58.5¢ | $90.74 | $155.17 | +$64.43 | |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 63¢ | $126 | — | -$126 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | $49.43 | — | -$49.43 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 46¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
SU suntori<$100 | Underavg 62.3¢ | $17.13 | $0 | +$10.35 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | $10.8 | — | +$9.18 | 83% 746-157 (903) |
MaoZeDonKInvested
$600
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$594.92
Record
57%
38-29 (67)
Invested
$517.6
Value
$504.76
PnL
-$12.84
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Invested
$542.35
Value
$155.17
PnL
-$387.17
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$126
Value
—
PnL
-$126
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
Invested
$49.43
Value
—
PnL
-$49.43
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$17.13
Value
$0
PnL
+$10.35
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
+$9.18
Record
83%
746-157 (903)