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NoYesYesNo
VeryLucky888<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will UD Ibiza win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$382.75
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,243
Combined PnL+$490.13
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares302
Combined PnL-$107.38
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 59.3¢ | $740.41 | $1.2K | +$484 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 53.8¢ | $85.22 | — | -$85.22 | 46% 3240-3776 (7016) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.5¢ | $22.16 | — | -$22.16 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
PE pelik<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $6.24 | $6.25 | +$0.01 | 99% 1686-5 (1691) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 45.3¢ | $2.29 | $5.04 | +$2.76 | 53% 1889-1648 (3537) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $1.12 | $2.24 | +$1.12 | 47% 1186-1362 (2548) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$740.41
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$484
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$85.22
Value
—
PnL
-$85.22
Record
46%
3240-3776 (7016)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$22.16
Value
—
PnL
-$22.16
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
PE
pelik<$100Invested
$6.24
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
1686-5 (1691)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$2.29
Value
$5.04
PnL
+$2.76
Record
53%
1889-1648 (3537)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
$2.24
PnL
+$1.12
Record
47%
1186-1362 (2548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6d98155a...4b57ad
Slug
es3-ibi-car-2026-11-15-ibi