Back to Markets
UnderOverOverUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
CD Extremadura vs. Pontevedra CF: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 57%
Total Value
$4.7K
Combined PnL
-$248.72
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,207
Combined PnL$-4.1K
Over3 traders
Total Value$4.7K
Total Shares4,749
Combined PnL+$3.8K
Under — 57%Over — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 81.5¢ | $3.5K | — | $-3.5K | 65% 349-188 (537) |
LI LightParadox | Overavg 20.8¢ | $526.07 | $2.5K | +$2.0K | 37% 1336-2230 (3566) |
LI Limousin | Overavg 16¢ | $288.68 | $1.8K | +$1.5K | 38% 1318-2168 (3486) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 63.2¢ | $594.32 | — | -$594.32 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 27.6¢ | $112.56 | $407.56 | +$295 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 58¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 41% 1175-1673 (2848) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
DA
dashattackerCTRInvested
$3,469.66
Value
—
PnL
$-3.5K
Record
65%
349-188 (537)
LI
LightParadoxInvested
$526.07
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
37%
1336-2230 (3566)
LI
LimousinInvested
$288.68
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
38%
1318-2168 (3486)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$594.32
Value
—
PnL
-$594.32
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$112.56
Value
$407.56
PnL
+$295
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
41%
1175-1673 (2848)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x13ced152...cb29da
Slug
es3-ext-pon-2026-11-15-total-4pt5