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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5

Resolved Over. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

20

Under 37%

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 20 top traders (35%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,633
Combined PnL$-2.7K
Over13 traders
Total Value$3.1K
Total Shares3,102
Combined PnL+$1.6K
Under — 35%Over — 65%
FL
FlaznorpCTR
Under

Invested

$1,957.39

Value

—

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

49%

4068-4262 (8330)

GO
GoalLineGhost
Over

Invested

$679.2

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$689.07

Record

53%

2221-2002 (4223)

SN
SnakeBall
Over

Invested

$180.19

Value

$600.62

PnL

+$420.43

Record

47%

969-1095 (2064)

LI
Limousin
Over

Invested

$45.62

Value

$228.1

PnL

+$182.48

Record

37%

1030-1762 (2792)

FO
foooool
Over

Invested

$58

Value

$186

PnL

+$128

Record

38%

87-142 (229)

VE
VenusianCTR
Under

Invested

$107.05

Value

—

PnL

-$107.05

Record

37%

1035-1784 (2819)

RN1
Over

Invested

$53.47

Value

$163.85

PnL

+$110.38

Record

55%

5455-4439 (9894)

dips.
Over

Invested

$216.97

Value

$151

PnL

+$3.02

Record

47%

1014-1141 (2155)

SM
smithagent
Over

Invested

$141.12

Value

$144

PnL

+$2.88

Record

45%

699-859 (1558)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Over

Invested

$95.54

Value

$96.51

PnL

+$0.97

Record

99%

505-7 (512)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
Over

Invested

$20.96

Value

$89.97

PnL

+$69.01

Record

36%

510-915 (1425)

SE
sentrio<$100
Over

Invested

$9.85

Value

$48.48

PnL

+$38.63

Record

42%

1051-1465 (2516)

VeryLucky888CTR
Under

Invested

$609.1

Value

—

PnL

-$609.1

Record

54%

1473-1278 (2751)

WA
WagerWizard<$100
Over

Invested

$18.6

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.4

Record

44%

169-215 (384)

LI
LightParadox<$100
Over

Invested

$1.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.3

Record

37%

1053-1783 (2836)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$23.8

Value

—

PnL

-$23.8

Record

46%

2814-3341 (6155)

poshposhCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$1.15

Value

—

PnL

-$1.15

Record

49%

1212-1274 (2486)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$0.93

Value

—

PnL

-$0.93

Record

37%

1116-1869 (2985)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$6.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.36

Record

48%

2212-2378 (4590)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Over

Invested

$198

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

134-60 (194)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x02a6bc6f...5d9618
Slug
es2-rm-cor-2026-11-14-total-4pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Under — $0

$-2.0K
GO

GoalLineGhost

Over — $1.4K

+$689.07
SN

SnakeBall

Over — $600.62

+$420.43
LI

Limousin

Over — $228.1

+$182.48
FO

foooool

Over — $186

+$128
VE

Venusian

CTR

Under — $0

-$107.05

RN1

Over — $163.85

+$110.38

dips.

Over — $151

+$3.02
SM

smithagent

Over — $144

+$2.88
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Over — $96.51

+$0.97
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