Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$221.06
-$2.5
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 9Β’ | $163.57 | $86.44 | -$77.13 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 88.9Β’ | $76.89 | $86.44 | +$9.56 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 9Β’ | $86.69 | β | -$86.69 | |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $105.9 | $106.01 | +$0.11 | 99% 1600-5 (1605) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Underavg 79.2Β’ | $17.07 | $21.15 | +$4.08 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 3Β’ | $8.01 | β | -$8.01 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 78.2Β’ | $4.69 | $6 | +$1.31 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Underavg 73Β’ | $1.06 | $1.45 | +$0.39 | 35% 399-742 (1141) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 11Β’ | $0.37 | β | -$0.37 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
Invested
$163.57
Value
$86.44
PnL
-$77.13
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Invested
$105.9
Value
$106.01
PnL
+$0.11
Record
99%
1600-5 (1605)
RN1<$100Invested
$17.07
Value
$21.15
PnL
+$4.08
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$8.01
Value
β
PnL
-$8.01
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
Invested
$4.69
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.31
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$1.06
Value
$1.45
PnL
+$0.39
Record
35%
399-742 (1141)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$0.37
Value
β
PnL
-$0.37
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)