Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was AD Ceuta FC β and it was correct. Winning outcome: AD Ceuta FC

Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
Resolved AD Ceuta FC. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held AD Ceuta FC. The smart money was right.
π
Won
4
AD Ceuta FC 50%
2 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$21.64
Smart Money Signal
2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | AD Ceuta FCavg 99.9Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.5 | 99% 837-2 (839) |
PE pelik | AD Ceuta FCavg 99.9Β’ | $962.01 | $962.97 | +$0.96 | 99% 1687-5 (1692) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | CD Tenerifeavg 11.7Β’ | $259.32 | $40 | -$219.32 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
| β CD Tenerife leg | CD Tenerifeavg 11.7Β’ | $222.92 | β | -$222.92 | |
| β AD Ceuta FC leg | AD Ceuta FCavg 91Β’ | $36.4 | $40 | +$3.6 | |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | AD Ceuta FCavg 96Β’ | $120.13 | $65 | -$55.13 | 52% 2494-2286 (4780) |
| β AD Ceuta FC leg | AD Ceuta FCavg 96Β’ | $62.4 | $65 | +$2.6 | |
| β CD Tenerife leg | CD Tenerifeavg 12Β’ | $57.73 | β | -$57.73 | |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | CD Tenerifeavg 12Β’ | $24 | β | -$24 | 39% 1579-2471 (4050) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | CD Tenerifeavg 9Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 47% 1199-1376 (2575) |
Invested
$1,498.5
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.5
Record
99%
837-2 (839)
Invested
$962.01
Value
$962.97
PnL
+$0.96
Record
99%
1687-5 (1692)
Invested
$259.32
Value
$40
PnL
-$219.32
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Both legs:
Invested
$120.13
Value
$65
PnL
-$55.13
Record
52%
2494-2286 (4780)
Both legs:
Invested
$24
Value
β
PnL
-$24
Record
39%
1579-2471 (4050)
Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
47%
1199-1376 (2575)