Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was No β and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Exact Score: CD Tenerife 1 - 0 AD Ceuta FC?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
No 67%
1 arb excluded
$294.31
$2.5
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 50.9Β’ | $95.81 | $140.13 | +$44.32 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
| β No leg | Noavg 50.9Β’ | $71.3 | $140.13 | +$68.83 | |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 19.5Β’ | $24.51 | β | -$24.51 | |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Noavg 93Β’ | $86.27 | $92.77 | +$6.5 | 51% 242-233 (475) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Noavg 88.2Β’ | $44.1 | $50 | +$5.9 | 29% 96-237 (333) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 53Β’ | $14.85 | β | -$14.85 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 36Β’ | $2.84 | $7.9 | +$5.06 | 35% 635-1160 (1795) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 43Β’ | $1.51 | $3.51 | +$2 | 47% 1199-1376 (2575) |
Invested
$95.81
Value
$140.13
PnL
+$44.32
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Both legs:
Invested
$86.27
Value
$92.77
PnL
+$6.5
Record
51%
242-233 (475)
Invested
$44.1
Value
$50
PnL
+$5.9
Record
29%
96-237 (333)
Invested
$14.85
Value
β
PnL
-$14.85
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
Invested
$2.84
Value
$7.9
PnL
+$5.06
Record
35%
635-1160 (1795)
Invested
$1.51
Value
$3.51
PnL
+$2
Record
47%
1199-1376 (2575)