Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Arsenal FC β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Arsenal FC

Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)
Resolved Arsenal FC. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Arsenal FC. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Arsenal FC 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.7K
-$235.85
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Hull City AFCavg 0.5Β’ | $468.27 | $169.33 | -$298.95 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| β Hull City AFC leg | Hull City AFCavg 0.5Β’ | $300.3 | β | -$300.3 | |
| β Arsenal FC leg | Arsenal FCavg 99.2Β’ | $167.97 | $169.33 | +$1.35 | |
GO GoalLineGhost | Arsenal FCavg 99Β’ | $562.33 | $560.24 | -$2.09 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Arsenal FCavg 98.8Β’ | $474.24 | $480 | +$5.76 | 56% 8738-6795 (15533) |
38 38791873984189 | Arsenal FCavg 99.1Β’ | $874.93 | $378.86 | +$1.51 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
VE VenusianCTR | Hull City AFCavg 0.5Β’ | $44.5K | β | -$222.64 | 49% 1843-1935 (3778) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Arsenal FCavg 98.6Β’ | $49.29 | $40.68 | +$0.66 | 58% 23579-16943 (40522) |
CA Cannae<$100 | Arsenal FCavg 98.9Β’ | $29.66 | $30 | +$0.41 | 53% 16963-15085 (32048) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Arsenal FCavg 99Β’ | $48.5 | $19.01 | +$0.48 | 54% 10485-8797 (19282) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Hull City AFCavg 0.5Β’ | $10 | β | -$10 | 50% 26409-26025 (52434) |
LI LimousinCTR | Hull City AFCavg 0.5Β’ | $2.0K | β | -$9.94 | 50% 1850-1863 (3713) |
Invested
$468.27
Value
$169.33
PnL
-$298.95
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
Invested
$562.33
Value
$560.24
PnL
-$2.09
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Invested
$474.24
Value
$480
PnL
+$5.76
Record
56%
8738-6795 (15533)
Invested
$874.93
Value
$378.86
PnL
+$1.51
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$44,534
Value
β
PnL
-$222.64
Record
49%
1843-1935 (3778)
Invested
$49.29
Value
$40.68
PnL
+$0.66
Record
58%
23579-16943 (40522)
Invested
$29.66
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.41
Record
53%
16963-15085 (32048)
Invested
$48.5
Value
$19.01
PnL
+$0.48
Record
54%
10485-8797 (19282)
Invested
$10
Value
β
PnL
-$10
Record
50%
26409-26025 (52434)
Invested
$1,988
Value
β
PnL
-$9.94
Record
50%
1850-1863 (3713)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
GoalLineGhost
Arsenal FC β $560.24
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Arsenal FC β $480
38791873984189
Arsenal FC β $378.86
Venusian
CTRHull City AFC β $0
ghorrock
Arsenal FC β $40.68
Cannae
Arsenal FC β $30
Pan9X
Arsenal FC β $19.01
sentrio
CTRHull City AFC β $0
Limousin
CTRHull City AFC β $0